ROCK HILL, SOUTH CAROLINA – With just over a month left until the 2024 Presidential election, 52% of likely voters in South Carolina would vote for Donald Trump and 42% would vote for Kamala Harris. Two percent would vote for some other candidate and 4% report being undecided.
Among those likely voters who express a preference between the Democratic and Republican candidates, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris 55% to 45%. In the 2020 Presidential Election in South Carolina, Donald Trump defeated Joe Biden by 11.68%.
For full results, explanations about the tables, analysis by the poll director and methodology go here.
The following are GENERAL POPULATION results from the survey:
· 51% think Trump’s conviction was politically motivated.
· 57% believe Trump committed all or some of the crimes for which he was convicted.
· 42% sympathize more with the Israelis regarding the ongoing situation in the Middle East; 17% sympathize more with the Palestinians; 35% are not sure.
· 72% think the South is better off as part of the US than as a separate country.
· 56% believe the Civil War was more about slavery than it was about states’ rights or any other issue.
· 47% think it is very or somewhat likely that the United States will undergo another civil war in the near future. Republicans are more likely than Democrats to believe there will be another civil war soon.
· South Carolinians view election security, illegal immigration, opioid addition, and the country turning its back on God as serious problems in America. Difficulty voting is not seen as a serious problem.
· Approval ratings: President Joe Biden, 31%; Governor Henry McMaster, 45%; Senator Lindsey Graham, 36%; Senator Tim Scott, 44%.
Results of the GENERAL POPULATION from the survey are of 1829 (weighted) South Carolinians and have a Margin of Error of +/-2.3%.
Results of LIKELY VOTERS from the survey are of 1068 (weighted) South Carolinians and have a Margin of Error of +/- 3%.
Results of LIKELY VOTERS WHO EXPRESS A PREFERENCE from the survey of are 1000 (weighted) South Carolinians and have a Margin of Error of +/-3.1%.
Margin of Error for other populations (e.g. race or partisanship) are noted the first time they are used. Subgroups have higher margins of error.
The survey was conducted via online and phone (with live callers – no IVR) between September 21 and 29, 2024. Data are weighted by sex, race, age, and education.
The Winthrop Poll is conducted and paid for by Winthrop University.
For additional information or to set up an interview with Poll Director Scott Huffmon, contact Judy Longshaw at longshawj@winthrop.edu or 803/323-2404 (office) or 803/984-0586 (cell).
